Inaction is not a saving. More often, it is a loss of control.
First, the tax does not disappear. Depending on the group structure and the jurisdictions involved, if Switzerland does not collect the QDMTT, the top-up may be collected through the IIR in the parent jurisdiction or, in future, through the UTPR elsewhere. Passivity often simply hands the revenue to a foreign treasury.
Second, there are penalties. The Ordinance provides for sanctions that include, among others:
- an administrative charge of up to CHF 200 per day for a late information return, capped at CHF 50,000 — this is an administrative sanction, not a criminal fine;
- up to CHF 100,000 for a false or incomplete information return;
- up to CHF 10,000 for failure to comply with official orders;
- up to CHF 1,000 for procedural violations, and up to CHF 10,000 in serious or repeated cases;
- for top-up tax evasion, a fine geared to the amount of tax evaded, with scope for reduction or increase.
Persons who intentionally instigate, assist in or participate in an evasion or procedural offence can themselves be fined up to CHF 10,000 — and up to CHF 50,000 in serious or repeated cases — and may be jointly and severally liable for the evaded tax. In serious cases, the Ordinance also contains a tax fraud offence, where evasion is committed using false, falsified or substantively incorrect documents; this can lead to imprisonment of up to three years or a monetary penalty.
There is transitional relief. The Ordinance provides for a waiver of the administrative charge for a late information return, and of negligence-based procedural and evasion penalties, for financial years beginning on or before 31 December 2026 and ending on or before 30 June 2028. This relief should not be read as permission to do nothing. It does not cover intentional misconduct, it does not remove the tax itself, it does not remove the obligation to register and file, and it does nothing for the commercial, audit and international exposure that a group still carries.
Third, a group can lose a safe harbour. A late or defective process may not always be the legal reason a safe harbour fails. The practical risk is that the group cannot evidence the required conditions, makes an inconsistent election, relies on defective CbCR data, or falls foul of the "once out, always out" principle — and is then left with the full GloBE calculation.
Fourth, there is M&A and financing risk. A buyer will ask about Pillar Two exposure. A bank may require a compliance representation. An auditor may require a provision, a disclosure or a management representation. A group without a prepared file pays for that gap in valuation, in the warranty catalogue and in the timeline of the transaction.